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Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a statistical dead heat in Wisconsin, according to a Marquette University Law School poll that for the first time measures the updated head-to-head matchup.
Among registered voters, 50% supported Trump and 49% supported Harris. Among likely voters, 50% supported Harris and 49% supported Trump, according to the poll released Wednesday. When polling for President Joe Biden and Trump, Biden was at 42% and Trump at 47% among registered voters.
"Harris, by replacing Biden, has really made up this deficit that had been created with Biden's problem with the debate," poll director Charles Franklin said. "The party obviously just really quickly coalesced around (Harris), and that has boosted people's perceptions of her in terms of favorability."
The new poll surveyed 877 registered voters, between July 24 and Aug. 1. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. There were 801 likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 points. Starting next month, the poll will emphasize likely voters as the November election draws closer, Franklin said.
The results released Wednesday are the first installment of the poll since Biden dropped out of the race and Harris became the Democratic nominee. The June poll before his exit showed Biden essentially tied with Trump in Wisconsin, but with lagging voter enthusiasm for Biden.
The survey was released just an hour before Harris was set to speak at a rally in Eau Claire, her second stop in a tour of battleground states with running mate Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz. Republican vice presidential nominee JD Vance was also expected to make remarks in the same city.
This story will be updated.
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